AV Galaxy Plan       







The End Is Nearer, Say Atomic Scientists

The End Is Nearer, Say Atomic Scientists

clock
The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists says we’re five minutes from Doomsday.


The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, which 60 years ago began keeping tabs on humanity’s temporal distance from self-annihilation with the concept of a “Doomsday Clock,” apparently found things sufficiently dire to nudge the minute hand forward two clicks, indicating that we are now “five minutes to midnight” — or Doomsday.

The clock had last been adjusted in 2002, when it was moved from 9 minutes off to 7 minutes. The current position is the closest the group has put the planet to Doomsday since 1953, when the Soviets and the United States were first playing with their newfangled thermonuclear weaponry, and things looked mighty bleak indeed.

From a statement released today by the Board of Directors of the Bulletin, and posted to its Web site:

We stand at the brink of a second nuclear age. Not since the first atomic bombs were dropped on Hiroshima and Nagasaki has the world faced such perilous choices. North Korea’s recent test of a nuclear weapon, Iran’s nuclear ambitions, a renewed U.S. emphasis on the military utility of nuclear weapons, the failure to adequately secure nuclear materials, and the continued presence of some 26,000 nuclear weapons in the United States and Russia are symptomatic of a larger failure to solve the problems posed by the most destructive technology on Earth.

As in past deliberations, we have examined other human-made threats to civilization. We have concluded that the dangers posed by climate change are nearly as dire as those posed by nuclear weapons. The effects may be less dramatic in the short term than the destruction that could be wrought by nuclear explosions, but over the next three to four decades climate change could cause drastic harm to the habitats upon which human societies depend for survival.

This deteriorating state of global affairs leads the Board of Directors of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists — in consultation with a Board of Sponsors that includes 18 Nobel laureates — to move the minute hand of the “Doomsday Clock” from seven to five minutes to midnight.

Rather than bore you with more exposition, however, we figured we’d render a graphic for your viewing pleasure. So with no further ado, here’s a very rough sketch of how the experts interpreted our distance from the bitter end over the last 60 years, based on the timeline provided at the Bulletin’s Web site. Enjoy!

GrafThe Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists now puts the planet five minutes from Doomsday — the closest we’ve been since 1953. (Source: Doomsday Timeline)
Keywords:  Doom
Comments
Re: The End Is Nearer, Say Atomic Scientists
by koantum on Wed 17 Jan 2007 08:37 PM PST |  Profile |  Permanent Link
Somewhere Sri Aurobindo said or wrote something to this effect (unfortunately I don't remember the source - can somebody help finding it?): The Overmind, as long as it was in charge of the terrestrial goings-on (that is, till 1956), had to play it safe because as a mental principle (even though the highest) it is divided within itself and not 100% in control. Now that the Supermind is in charge, it can take us closer to the brink because it is in total control. It won't let us go down, but it will do whatever it takes...
Re: Re: The End Is Nearer, Say Atomic Scientists
by Rich on Wed 17 Jan 2007 08:56 PM PST |  Profile |  Permanent Link
But as we chatted about at the conference, does the future necesarily need us? e.g humanity.

Of course my own response is not necessarily, but seeing that Sri Aurobindo and Mother did so much for the promise of a future, in which we would , albeit transformed still be there, my own thoughts are that we should still take care to bring about that outcome which desired.

I'd also add that we still have enough nukes to literally tear the planet in half, and the fanactics who would use them have I think not yet gotten the message about impending the supramental descent. Their project, be it Bush or Bin Laden, seems to be rather about Armageddon

rich

(Re)^3: The End Is Nearer, Say Atomic Scientists
by koantum on Wed 17 Jan 2007 10:06 PM PST |  Profile |  Permanent Link
Does the future need us? Depends on what you mean by "us". I am not sure about humanity. I am sure about those eternal individuals who have chosen to descend into involution in order to play evolution. We may have forgotten, but Sri Aurobindo assures us that those who take part wanted to take part and knew very well what that would entail, including every Armageddon you care to name. I am totally unable to imagine how the splendid future Sri Aurobindo and the Mother have promised to us (and which is really a logical consequence of the nature of this manfestation of Sachchidananda) will realize itself and what apparent catastrophies this will take. There are many different ways of looking at what's going on, each containing a particle of truth. Maybe the fanatics got the message and are enraged by it? When the Mother foiled a plot by the one who calls himself the Lord of Nations, the latter said that he knew his end was close but that till then he would cause as much damage as he could. Maybe the damage is needed to shake us conscious of who we are and what we are here for? Then if we were to halt the destruction, we would delay or prevent the intended awakening. We haven't got the foggiest of what exactly we, any one of us at any given moment, would have to do to help bring about the ultimate terrestrial realization, rather than stand in the way with our admirable but very short-sighted intentions. In the Bhagavad Gita, Krishna tells Arjuna that the question is not whether to fight or not to fight. That has already been decided. In fact, the battle has already taken place on a higher plane. The question is whether we do what we do with trust into the future that is realizing itself, which brings about understanding, which brings about a calm heart and a peaceful mind, or whether we do what we do relying on ourselves, our own extremely limited resources, which brings about uncertainty, which brings about fear, which brings about hatred...
Re: (Re)^3: On the third hand...
by Ron on Thu 18 Jan 2007 03:26 AM PST |  Profile |  Permanent Link
During a similar discussion with my wife, Kim, she read this quote from SA's "Thoughts and Aphorisms." It spoke powerfully to me then and may be relevant to share here. I marvel at how he integrates these apparent paradoxes:
131. "Because God has willed and foreseen everything, thou shouldst not therefore sit inactive and wait upon His providence, for thy action is one of His chief effective forces. Up then and be doing, not with egoism, but as the cirucumstance, instrument and apparent cause of the event that He has predetermined."

- Sri Aurobindo
Up then...
by koantum on Thu 18 Jan 2007 05:25 AM PST |  Profile |  Permanent Link
Up then and be doing, not with egoism, but as the circumstance, instrument and apparent cause of the event that He has predetermined.

That's exactly what I said! He doesn't tell us what we should do but only that we should do whatever we do without the egoism that blinds us and makes us suffer.

There is an apparent paradox in his saying "thou shouldst not therefore sit inactive"—as if we had a choice! If we have no choice, then why does he bother to say it? But he also has no choice! He is made to speak, we are made to listen, some are made to comply, others are made not to. Nothing regarding what we should or should not do can be deduced from the fact that God has willed and foreseen everything. But it might help us to calm down a bit, and perhaps this is why it has been said...
Re: Up then...
by Rich on Thu 18 Jan 2007 06:23 PM PST |  Profile |  Permanent Link
which all reminds me of TS Eliot line about
"the still point in the dance, and there is only the dance."
Re: Up then...
by koantum on Thu 18 Jan 2007 07:34 PM PST |  Profile |  Permanent Link
Go, go, go, said the bird: human kind
Cannot bear very much reality.

At the still point of the turning world. Neither flesh nor fleshless;
Neither from nor towards; at the still point, there the dance is,
But neither arrest nor movement. And do not call it fixity,
Where past and future are gathered. Neither movement from nor towards,
Neither ascent nor decline. Except for the point, the still point,
There would be no dance, and there is only the dance.
I can only say, there we have been: but I cannot say where.
And I cannot say, how long, for that is to place it in time.
The inner freedom from the practical desire,
The release from action and suffering, release from the inner
And the outer compulsion, yet surrounded
By a grace of sense, a white light still and moving,
Erhebung without motion, concentration
Without elimination, both a new world
And the old made explicit, understood
In the completion of its partial ecstasy,
The resolution of its partial horror.

Time past and time future
Allow but a little consciousness.
To be conscious is not to be in time
But only in time can the moment in the rose-garden,
The moment in the arbour where the rain beat,
The moment in the draughty church at smokefall
Be remembered; involved with past and future.
Only through time time is conquered.

To arrive where you are, to get from where you are not,
You must go by a way wherein there is no ecstasy.
In order to arrive at what you do not know
You must go by a way which is the way of ignorance.
In order to possess what you do not possess
You must go by the way of dispossession.
In order to arrive at what you are not
You must go through the way in which you are not.
And what you do not know is the only thing you know
And what you own is what you do not own
And where you are is where you are not.

We shall not cease from exploration
And the end of all our exploring
Will be to arrive where we started
And know the place for the first time.

Quick now, here, now, always—
A condition of complete simplicity
(Costing not less than everything)
And all shall be well and
All manner of thing shall be well
When the tongues of flame are in-folded
Into the crowned knot of fire
And the fire and the rose are one.

T.S. Elliot (Excerpts from The Four Quartets)
Me again
by koantum on Wed 17 Jan 2007 11:39 PM PST |  Profile |  Permanent Link
Hi Rich, in this context, John Horgan has an interesting post entitled Why the "Realists" Are Wrong About War. His previous post is also worth looking at.
Re: Me again (Horganisms)
by Ron on Fri 19 Jan 2007 03:02 AM PST |  Profile |  Permanent Link
Thanks for this note Ulrich. I just posted the "Welcome to World Peace" essay that Horgan references in his Discover column.

See also this "Dramatic decrease in organized violence" article posted on SCIY awhile ago. I agree that it's important that we balance our hand-wringing with evidence of more optimistic possibilities. This kind of data helps me maintain an attitude of gratitude, in the face of the horror ...
Re: Me again (hand-wringing)
by koantum on Fri 19 Jan 2007 05:18 AM PST |  Profile |  Permanent Link
Never forget: the media will tell you when a great woman dies, not when a great woman is born!
(-:
Re: The End Is Nearer, Say Atomic Scientists
by RY Deshpande on Fri 19 Jan 2007 01:27 AM PST |  Profile |  Permanent Link
In the Bhagavad Gita, Krishna tells Arjuna that the question is not whether to fight or not to fight. That has already been decided. In fact, the battle has already taken place on a higher plane.

And yet the instrument was needed. Arjuna was told to be nimitta-matra, a pretext. Man's participation in the battle is essential.

The quality of the result will to some extent depend upon the quality of the isntrument.

Sri Aurobindo and the Mother saw India free long before the event in 1947. But it was the India without the partition. Something certainly went wrong,-- and the havoc. Human instrument had failed.

RYD
Post comment:
Format Type: 
  Convert newlines
  Receive comment notifications for this article
Subject: 
   
insert bold tags insert italic tags insert underline tags insert strikethough tags insert link insert blockquote tags
Comment: 
Comment verification:

Please enter the text you see inside the graphic to post your comment:
This blog does not allow anonymous comments. Please provide your username and password along with your comment.
Login information:
Username: 
Password: 
If you would like to post contact information on your comment, please enter your information into the optional fields below:
Contact information:
URL:  example: http://yourdomain.com